"Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?" — thirteen days in which the
market went from a coin flip to pricing a Democrat as the clear favourite in a state no
Democrat has won statewide since 1994. Rebuilt from 1,924,513 raw order-book
events: true best bid and best ask, every recorded fill, and the full depth
ladder as it stood at any moment. Polymarket market
0x34918035…e7f417.
Took the Democrat at even money on 9 September and sold too soon? Replay it and see what holding on would have been worth.
Click the chart or drag the scrubber to set your bet's time and price, pick a side and stake, then place it. Move the playhead forward to compare cashing out at any point against carrying the position to today's price. The race isn't run yet — it resolves on election day, 3 November 2026 — so there is no settlement figure here, only the price path.
| Time (ET) | Outcome | Side | Price | Size | Notional | Trader |
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